With almost 50 percent of his forces deployed in South Kivu, Evariste Ndayishimiye aka Gen. Neva of Burundi is desperately hanging on to Uvira; the strategic border town of DR Congo and Burundi.
Every rumor that Uvira might fall to M23/AFC liberators sends Ndayishimiye in a panic. He knows, if Uvira falls, Bujumbura will follow.
The Burundian dictator’s gross miscalculation in forging an alliance with DRC warmonger Felix Tshisekedi as well as genocidal terrorist groups FDLR and Wazalendos in a genocidal campaign against Congolese Tutsis communities has placed Bujumbura in danger.
Gen. Neva has allowed his allies to use Bujumbura’s airport to bomb M23/AFC positions and civilian population, deliberately targeting Congolese Tutsi villages like Minembwe and Rurambo, thereby turning himself into a willinG participant in Genocide.
However, despite Ndayishimiye’s unprecedented military support to Tshisekedi, M23/AFC is still dominating the battlefield, and has approached Uvira. If the strstegic town falls, Burundi will no longer have a land border with Congo, and even operations at the Bujumbura airport will be affected.
“How will Ndayishimiye’s battalions return home?”, a security analyst asked. “If Uvira falls, Bujumbura will be paralysed,” he noted.
The catastrophic consequences are far reaching and dire for Burundi.
With the current dire fuel shortages, Bujumbura relies on smuggled fuel from Uvira, for one thing. Congolese banks operating in Uvira also serve businesses in Burundi to pay for import goods as Burundi also lacks foreign currencies to import basic necessities. Furthermore, Burundi is a landlocked country that closed its borders with Rwanda (one of its three neighboring countries).
Should Uvira fall, Burundi will not only losevits militarized airport, but it would also lose a second (out of three) neighboring state to trade with.
“Uvira tombe” is a doomsday scenario for Ndayishimiye.
His support Tshisekedi is ultimately a self-inflicted wound. Ndayishimiye and his regime will either try to wiggle themselves out of the genocidal alliance to save Bujumbura. Or, alternatively, they will have to commit the remaining 50 percent of their army.
“Einsten said that insanity is doing the same thing over and over again while expecting a different results”, the analyst replied to our suggestions that Ndayishimiye would commit more troops. “More troops by Ndayishimiye will produce the same results as in Goma and Bukavu. It would be insane to think otherwise,” he concluded.
With his ineptitude, Ndayishimiye has placed Bujumbura on the chopping board. He may be regretting his genocidal terrorist-bandits alliances.
Ultimately, he has to figure out how to deal with the horrid situation he put himself in.
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